Development of Future Socio-Economic Scenario and Prediction of Future Land-Use Pattern in Thailand
04-ST1-FSE (Description)

Thai Side

  • Yongyut TRISURAT – Kasetsart University (KU)
  • Weerakaset SUANPAGA – Kasetsart University (KU)
  • Kanyarat NETBUT – Department of National Parks, Wildlife and Plant Conservation (DNP)

Japanese Side

  • Hiroaki SHIRAKAWA – Nagoya University

Prediction of land use/land cover change in Nan province based on different
socioeconomic scenarios

Expected Outcomes

  • Recent land use/land cover change rate and map
  • Projection of future trends (business-as-usual)
  • Projected future land use/land cover maps
  • Vulnerable change areas
  • Adaptation approaches

Description of Activities

  • Gather land use maps and socio-economic data
  • Interview stakeholders and relevant agencies
  • Field survey to observe land use/land cover
  • Land use change modeling (partially done)
  • Write a book chapter publication (in Thailand: Environmental Resources and related social and policies (Y. Trisurat et a;. 2018),

Progress in June 2020